American Idol 2024 Top 3 FINAL rankings and winner prediction, Facebook stats and YOUR poll results
This week Abi Carter led the polls and dominated the Facebook metrics, entering Sunday’s (5/19) finale as the clear frontrunner. Jack Blocker sits in second place, with Will Moseley in third. If Will squeaked into the Top 3 on a close vote, it wouldn’t be a surprise — his steady run and loyal fanbase have carried him far.
Below are the poll results, social stats and final predictions heading into the American Idol season 22 finale.
Top 3 FINAL Rankings
3. Will Moseley
Will has delivered a consistently strong showing on American Idol by sticking close to his soulful country style, reminiscent of Chris Stapleton. He hasn’t taken many stylistic risks, though late in the season he worked to add greater dynamics to his performances. Playing it relatively safe has paid off: he’s likable and occupies a genre with a devoted audience. Still, Jack and Abi have pushed themselves creatively and presented riskier, high-caliber performances that resonated with viewers.
On Disney Night Will returned to familiar territory and had an uneven outing, including a few timing and lyrical mistakes. That performance likely hurt his momentum. Another factor: both Jack and Abi co-wrote their potential winners’ singles, while Will did not — a difference that may influence industry interest after the show.
Even in third place, Will remains a strong candidate for a record deal; labels commonly sign multiple finalists, so his path forward looks promising.
2. Jack Blocker
Jack Blocker’s folk and Americana roots have allowed him to reinterpret a wide range of songs, turning unfamiliar material into his own. He’s a confident performer who can captivate an audience whether he’s standing still at the piano or moving across the stage. Jack is unafraid to take chances — his song choices have been adventurous and strategically chosen to highlight his versatility.
On Disney Night he delivered two memorable performances, including a daring cover of David Bowie’s “Space Oddity,” a song not easy to clear or to make your own. Jack’s fearlessness and clear sense of identity as an artist have helped him stand out. He’s also embraced the classic “dark horse” arc: not an early favorite, he climbed steadily through the competition and built momentum.
1. Abi Carter
Abi has been the season’s standout. A talented songwriter and a compelling pianist, she shines on emotional ballads but has also proven she can tackle pop and rock with energy and stage presence. She frequently opted for bold choices rather than playing it safe, producing several viral moments that amplified her profile.
Her Disney Night performance of “Part of Your World” went particularly viral on Facebook, amassing over one million plays and far outpacing the other finalists’ clips from the same episode. That level of reach is a significant advantage heading into the finale; if she delivers two strong performances on the final night, this competition will likely be hers to lose.
American Idol 2024 Top 3 FINAL Polls
In our final reader poll Abi is the clear favorite: 50% of respondents believe she will win, and 56% believe she should win. Jack is the second most popular pick, while Will trails in third. When readers were asked to choose favorite performances from the Top 5, Abi and Jack split the top spots between them, with the others earning statistically smaller shares.
Who WILL Win American Idol 2024?
- Abi Carter – 50.00%
- Jack Blocker – 36.75%
- Will Moseley – 13.25%
Who SHOULD Win American Idol 2024?
- Abi Carter – 56.25%
- Jack Blocker – 37.85%
- Will Moseley – 5.90%
Favorite Top 5 Performance (Pick 2)
- Abi Carter – Part of Your World – 27.00%
- Abi Carter – The Chain – 22.71%
- Jack Blocker – Space Oddity – 21.05%
- Jack Blocker – Nobody’s Fool – 13.94%
- Will Moseley – Born to Be Wild – 5.07%
- Emmy Russell – The Climb – 3.02%
- Emmy Russell – Carried Me With You – 2.53%
- Triston Harper – Almost There – 2.05%
- Will Moseley – The Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy – 1.66%
- Triston Harper – Life Is a Highway – 0.97%
Which Eliminated Contestant Was Robbed?
- Nobody was robbed – 71.52%
- Emmy Russell – 16.90%
- Triston Harper – 11.58%
Facebook Statistics
Social metrics reinforce Abi’s lead. Her “Part of Your World” clip exceeded one million plays on Facebook, a clear outlier compared with the other finalists’ clips from Disney Night. Jack’s “Space Oddity” sits in second with roughly half as many plays, while Abi’s “The Chain” is close behind in third. Will’s performances drew smaller numbers, and his “Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy” clip registered roughly 302K plays, reflecting the performance’s uneven reception.
Top 3 (Top 5 performances) Facebook Stats
- Abi Carter – Part of Your World – 1M plays 16K likes
- Jack Blocker – Space Oddity – 518.6K plays 9K likes
- Abi Carter – The Chain – 495.4K plays 7.3K likes
- Jack Blocker – Nobody’s Fool – 476.4K plays 8.8K likes
- Will Moseley – Born to Be Wild – 373.2K plays 6.8K likes
- Will Moseley – The Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy – 301.9K plays 4.1K likes
FINAL PREDICTION
Prediction: Abi Carter will win American Idol 2024, with Jack Blocker finishing as runner-up and Will Moseley placing third. Both Jack and Abi are likely to make up the Top 2 on finale night; Abi currently holds the momentum and the social reach that tend to translate into votes during a live finale.
A few caveats: American Idol voters have historically favored contestants from the South and Midwest, and country-leaning artists have done well in the show’s ABC-era history. Geographical voting patterns and genre loyalty can still sway a close race. Jack’s regional base and country crossover appeal are advantages, while Abi’s viral reach and songwriting ability give her broader national visibility.
My final call: Abi Carter as winner, Jack Blocker as runner-up, and Will Moseley in third. Jack is a personal favorite, but Abi’s combination of songwriting, consistent viral moments and bold performances make her the most likely champion.
American Idol Finale guest stars…
The finale lineup includes guest appearances and duets with notable artists such as Hootie & the Blowfish, New Kids on the Block, Jason Mraz, Wynonna Judd, CeCe Winans, Cody Johnson, Seal, James Bay and Bishop Briggs. Past Idol winner Nick Fradiani will also appear, and Jon Bon Jovi will mentor and perform. Judges Lionel Richie, Katy Perry and Luke Bryan will take the stage as well. Expect a farewell tribute to Katy Perry, who is leaving the judges’ panel at season’s end.
The three-hour American Idol 2024 finale airs live coast to coast on ABC beginning at 8 PM EDT.